We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Yet here we are. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million. Why? Part of HuffPost Wellness. Are they gross exaggerations? The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. That's 150,000 generations. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). How fast does a laden fly fly? The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Those who are brave (foolish?) Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. Whoa. So far, so good. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Now things start getting interesting. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. Something was dropped and then picked up. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Wowser. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. June 5. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. dr ali binazir odds of being born. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . Do you know the odds of being alive? Me neither. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. Step 2. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Step 1. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. So what's the probability of your being born? If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Step 2. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. The chances that they would then get knocked up? They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Thank you, Monsignor. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Not only has He always known us; he has known everything each of us would do, for every one of our days has been written in His book before one of them ever came to be. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Want to Read. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? One in 2,000. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. Now things start getting interesting. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. An unimaginably long time. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. Maybe that one would have been better. What are the odds of that? Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! We do not only have common English names, but also uncommon ones that have unique origins and meanings. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. Why? You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. You have lived your life. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. dr ali binazir odds of being born. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Then the probability of Mr. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Are they gross exaggerations? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. You can start the series by clicking HERE. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Step 4. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count.

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